Insight Brief
12 May 2026
Insight Brief — 2026-05-12
- Western sanctions are hitting Russia and Iran at the same time — the UK, US, and EU all running parallel pressure campaigns.
- The EU is finalising agreements at unusual speed — from a Critical Medicines Act to a €15M Bosnia defence package, six landmark deals in two weeks.
- Heads of government are doing diplomacy traditionally handled by ministers — Macron in Kenya, Carney calling four counterparts, Costa at the European Political Community.
- Digital cooperation deals are spreading bilaterally across the G20 — Japan alone has signed four in two weeks.
- India, Australia, and Brazil are speaking to the world mostly through security and defence agencies.
- Ukrainian children are emerging as the rallying frame for Western anti-Russia sanctions — the EU, UK, and Canada all citing them this week.
- EU enlargement to the Western Balkans is moving on multiple tracks — Italy, the Council, and German diplomacy all engaged.
- Space security is forming as the next multilateral venue — 10 nations meeting in Colorado on offensive capabilities.
- Russia is staying engaged with India even as the West tightens sanctions — Lavrov in New Delhi tomorrow for ministerial talks.